2001

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2005 Livestock Trader's Table Of Contents

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We so strongly believe that the Livestock Trader’s Almanac will be helpful to your livestock market operations that if you are not completely satisfied with your purchase, return it for a full, no-hassle refund!

Over 150 Pages of Information!

Table Of Contents

New Year Meat Supply Hole	2
January Fundamental Overview	4
January Technical Overview	6
January Monthly Spread Trading Opportunity	8
February Fundamental Overview	10
February Technical Overview	12
February Monthly Spread Trading Opportunity	14
Cattle Seasonals	16
Pork Seasonals	18
March Fundamental Overview	20
March Technical Overview	22
March Monthly Spread Trading Opportunity	24
Cattle Spring Break	26
April Fundamental Overview	28
April Technical Overview	30
April Monthly Spread Trading Opportunity	32
Summer Hog Slaughter	34
May Fundamental Overview	36
May Technical Overview	38
May Monthly Spread Trading Opportunity	40
Seasonal Nature of Hog Farrowing	42
Summer Feeder Hole	44
June Fundamental Overview	46
June Technical Overview	48
June Monthly Spread Trading Opportunity	50
Goldman Roll and Livestock Markets	52
July Fundamental Overview	54
July Technical Overview	56
July Monthly Spread Trading Opportunity	58
Understanding the Cattle on Feed Report	60
Fade The Opening Gap	62
August Fundamental Overview	64
August Technical Overview	66
August Monthly Spread Trading Opportunity	68
Seasonal Nature of Cattle Marketing	70
September Fundamental Overview	72
September Technical Overview	74
September Monthly Spread Trading Opportunity	76
Seasonal Nature of Cattle on Feed	78
October Fundamental Overview	80
October Technical Overview	82
October Monthly Spread Trading Opportunity	84
Oct Weakness and Feeders	86
Seasonal Nature of Cattle Placements	88
November Fundamental Overview	90
November Technical Overview	92
November Monthly Spread Trading Opportunity	94
Livestock Slaughter Patterns	96
December Fundamental Overview	98
December Technical Overview	100

December Monthly Spread Trading Opportunity	102
Weekly Cattle Slaughter	104
Weekly Hog Slaughter	106
Howe's Limit Rule and Livestock Markets	108


APPENDIX I: Cattle Statistics	109 to 116
Cattle On Feed	110
Cattle Placements	111
Cattle Placements by Weight	112
Cattle Marketings	113
Cattle Disappearance	114
Federally Inspected Livestock Slaughter	115
World Beef and Veal Statistics	116

APPENDIX II: Pork Statistics	117 to 126
December 1^st Hogs & Pigs	118
March 1^st Hogs & Pigs	119
June 1^st Hogs & Pigs	120
September 1^st Hogs & Pigs	121
Monthly Hogs & Pigs Statistics	122
Federally Inspected Hog & Pig Slaughter	123
Pork Belly Cold Storage Stocks	124
World Pork Statistics	125


APPENDIX II: Monthly Futures Performance & Trend Continuation Studies	127 to 134
Monthly Live Cattle Futures Performance Summary	128
Monthly Live Cattle Trend Continuation Study	129
Monthly Feeder Cattle Futures Performance Summary	130
Monthly Feeder Cattle Trend Continuation Study	131
Monthly Lean Hog Futures Performance Summary	132
Monthly Lean Hog Trend Continuation Study	133

APPENDIX IV: Livestock Seasonal Price Charts	135 to 141
Reading Seasonal Charts	136
Live Cattle Seasonal Price Charts	137
Feeder Cattle Seasonal Price Charts	138-139
Lean Hog Seasonal Price Charts	140-141

APPENDIX V: Livestock Volatility Charts	143 to 150
Seasonal Volatility Charts	144
Live Cattle Seasonal Volatility Charts	145
Feeder Cattle Seasonal Volatility Charts	146-147
Lean Hog Seasonal Volatility Charts	148-149

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THE DATA CONTAINED HERE IN ARE BELIEVED TO BE RELIABLE BUT CANNOT BE GUARANTEED AS TO RELIABILITY, ACCURACY, OR COMPLETENESS; AND, AS SUCH ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE. CFEA WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR ANYTHING, WHICH MAY RESULT FROM RELIANCE ON THIS DATA OR THE OPINIONS EXPRESSED HERE IN.

DISCLOSURE OF RISK: THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL; THEREFORE, ONLY GENUINE RISK FUNDS SHOULD BE USED. FUTURES AND OPTIONS MAY NOT BE SUITABLE INVESTMENTS FOR ALL INDIVIDUALS, AND INDIVIDUALS SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER THEIR FINANCIAL CONDITION IN DECIDING WHETHER TO TRADE. OPTION TRADERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT THE EXERCISE OF A LONG OPTION WOULD RESULT IN A FUTURES POSITION.

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW.

NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL, OR IS LIKELY TO, ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.

ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM, IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES, ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS, IN GENERAL, OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.